by Catherine "Cookie" Miller, PA | Nov 13, 2025 | Home Prices
As we enter the final stretch of 2025, many buyers, sellers, and investors are wondering: Where is the real estate market headed? After a year of fluctuating mortgage rates, shifting inventory levels, and cautious consumer behavior, the closing months of the year are offering both challenges and opportunities.
Here’s a look at the latest trends and expert insights to help you navigate the market with confidence.
Mortgage Rates Are Easing But Slowly
One of the biggest stories in real estate this year has been the movement of mortgage rates. After peaking in 2024, rates have gradually declined in 2025, offering some relief to buyers. The Federal Reserve has already implemented two rate cuts in 2025. This has helped bring 30-year fixed mortgage rates down to the low 6% range. [forbes.com]
However, experts caution that rates may not fall significantly further in the short term. Affordability remains a concern, and many buyers are still waiting for more favorable conditions before jumping into the market.
Inventory Is Growing, But Buyer Activity Is Still Soft
According to Realtor.com’s October Housing Market Trends Report, active listings have increased for the 24th consecutive month, with inventory up 15.3% year-over-year. This means buyers have more options than they did a year ago. However, homes are spending longer on the market—an average of 63 days, which is five days longer than last year. [realtor.com]
Despite the increase in inventory, buyer activity remains subdued. Pending sales have slipped slightly, and many buyers are still hesitant due to economic uncertainty and affordability challenges.
Home Prices Are Stabilizing
Nationally, home prices have held steady. The median list price in October was $424,200, up just 0.4% from the previous year. However, regional differences are becoming more pronounced. Prices have declined in the South and West, while the Northeast and Midwest have seen modest gains.
J.P. Morgan’s 2025 Housing Market Outlook predicts that home prices will rise by about 3% overall this year, but growth will remain subdued. The market is expected to stay relatively flat through the end of the year, with no major price spikes or drops anticipated. [jpmorgan.com]
What This Means for Buyers and Sellers
If you’re a buyer, the final months of 2025 may offer a window of opportunity. With more homes on the market and slightly lower mortgage rates, you may find better deals especially if you’re willing to negotiate. Sellers, on the other hand, should be realistic about pricing and prepared for longer listing times.
For both sides, working with a knowledgeable real estate agent is key. Understanding local trends, pricing strategies, and financing options can make all the difference in today’s market.
Final Thoughts
The real estate market in late 2025 is showing signs of stabilization. While it’s not booming, it’s also not collapsing. With more inventory, steady prices, and slowly easing mortgage rates, the market is offering a more balanced environment for buyers and sellers alike.
If you’re thinking about making a move before the year ends or planning ahead for 2026, I’d be happy to help you navigate the market. Let’s connect and create a strategy that fits your goals.
by Catherine "Cookie" Miller, PA | May 27, 2025 | Home Prices
Image by Canva
Let’s face it—most of us don’t spend a ton of time thinking about tariffs. They sound like something better left to economists and politicians, right? But if you’re planning to buy, sell, or build a home, tariffs—especially those like the ones imposed during the Trump administration—can quietly affect the price tags you’re seeing on properties. So, what’s the connection between international trade policy and the value of your dream home? Let’s break it down.
First, a quick refresher: a tariff is essentially a tax on goods brought in from other countries. The idea is to make imported products more expensive, which can encourage people to buy from domestic manufacturers. Sounds simple enough. But in reality, those increased costs don’t just disappear—they get passed down the line. When tariffs are placed on materials like steel, aluminum, lumber, appliances, or cabinetry, the cost of building or upgrading a home starts creeping up.
This hits home builders especially hard. If it costs more to build a house, developers may delay or scale back new construction projects, which affects the inventory of available homes. Fewer homes on the market, combined with steady or growing buyer demand, often results in—you guessed it—higher home prices. Even small increases in material costs can significantly impact overall construction budgets, which trickles down to consumers.
Let’s say a builder planned to construct a dozen homes in a neighborhood, but the cost of imported lumber and stainless steel suddenly jumps by 15%. They now have to decide: do they eat that cost? Probably not. More likely, they’ll either raise the prices of the homes, reduce the number of builds, or substitute with cheaper materials—which can affect quality and long-term value.
But it’s not just new construction that’s impacted. Home renovations can also get more expensive. Think about homeowners who want to do a kitchen remodel or add a bathroom before selling. If those shiny imported fixtures or materials now cost more because of tariffs, sellers may need to increase their asking price to make it worthwhile—or skip the upgrade altogether, which can affect how quickly a home sells and for how much.
Even if you’re buying an existing home and not planning any immediate upgrades, tariffs can still indirectly influence your buying power. Higher home prices, whether from new builds or increased competition in the resale market, can stretch your budget further than you expected. And if inventory drops due to slowed construction, that limited supply can push prices even higher.
Now, all of this doesn’t mean that tariffs will automatically crash or spike the housing market overnight. The actual impact depends on a lot of moving parts—like interest rates, local inventory, buyer demand, and broader economic trends. But it *does* mean that real estate doesn’t exist in a bubble. Trade policy might seem like faraway political talk, but it can have a very real effect on your wallet.
So if you’re thinking of buying, selling, or building soon, keep an eye on what’s happening globally. The market responds to more than just local listings—sometimes, it’s responding to what’s happening at ports and borders, too.
by Catherine "Cookie" Miller, PA | May 3, 2025 | Home Prices
Let’s face it—most of us don’t spend much time thinking about tariffs. They sound like something best left to economists and politicians, right?
But if you’re planning to buy, sell, or build a home, tariffs—especially those like the ones imposed during the Trump administration—can quietly influence the housing market in big ways. Here’s how international trade policy might affect the price of your dream home.
What Is a Tariff and Why Does It Matter?
A tariff is essentially a tax on goods imported from other countries. The goal is to make imported products more expensive so people are encouraged to buy from domestic manufacturers.
But those increased costs don’t disappear—they get passed down the line.
When tariffs are applied to materials like:
- Steel
- Aluminum
- Lumber
- Appliances
- Cabinetry
…the cost to build or renovate homes goes up. And that affects real estate prices across the board.
How Tariffs Affect New Home Construction
Tariffs hit homebuilders especially hard. When the cost of construction materials rises, developers may:
- Raise home prices
- Delay or scale back projects
- Substitute cheaper (and possibly lower-quality) materials
Let’s say a builder planned to construct 12 homes. If imported lumber and stainless steel costs jump by 15%, they’re forced to make tough choices. Most likely, they won’t eat that cost—they’ll pass it on to buyers.
This means:
- Fewer new homes are built
- Inventory shrinks
- Prices go up due to limited supply and steady demand
Tariffs and Home Renovations
It’s not just new builds that are impacted. Tariffs can make home renovations more expensive too.
Think about a homeowner planning a kitchen remodel before selling. If imported fixtures cost more due to tariffs, they may:
- Increase their asking price to cover the upgrade
- Skip the renovation, which could lower their home’s value or market appeal
Even Resale Buyers Feel the Pinch
You might think this doesn’t affect you if you’re buying an existing home. But think again.
Higher home prices—whether from new builds or increased competition—can stretch your budget. If construction slows and inventory tightens, even resale homes become more expensive.
Real Estate Is Tied to Global Trade
Tariffs don’t automatically crash or spike the housing market. Many factors influence pricing—like:
- Interest rates
- Local supply and demand
- Labor shortages
- Broader economic trends
But the key takeaway? Real estate doesn’t exist in a bubble. What happens with trade policy and tariffs can have a very real effect on your wallet.
Key Takeaways: How Tariffs Affect Home Prices
- Tariffs increase material costs, which drives up home construction and renovation prices.
- Builders often pass those costs onto buyers, leading to higher real estate prices.
- Fewer homes get built, creating limited housing inventory.
- Even existing home prices can rise due to reduced supply and higher demand.
- Global trade policy is more connected to your home-buying journey than you might think.
Final Thoughts
If you’re thinking about buying, selling, or building a home, don’t just watch mortgage rates or local listings—keep an eye on global trade policy too. What happens at international borders could impact your housing budget more than you think.
by Catherine "Cookie" Miller, PA | Jan 7, 2025 | For Buyers, For Sellers, Home Prices
Recent headlines have been buzzing about the median asking price of homes dropping compared to last year, and that’s sparked plenty of confusion. And as a buyer or seller, it’s easy to assume that means prices are coming down. But here’s the catch: those numbers don’t tell the full story.
Nationally, home values are actually rising, even if the median price is down a bit. Let’s break down what’s really happening so you can make sense of the market without getting caught up in the fear the headlines create.
Homes on the Market Right Now Are Smaller
The biggest reason for the dip in median price is the size of homes being sold. The median price reflects the middle point of all the homes for sale at any given time. And that’ll be affected by the mix of homes on the market.
To show you how this works, here’s a simple explanation of a median (see visual below). Let’s say you have three coins in your pocket, and you decide to line them up according to their value from low to high. If you have one nickel and two dimes, the median (the middle one) is 10 cents. If you have two nickels and one dime, the median is now five cents.
In both cases, a nickel is still worth five cents and a dime is still worth 10 cents. The value of each coin didn’t change. The same is true for housing.
Right now, there’s a greater number of smaller, less expensive homes on the market, and that’s bringing the overall median price down. But that doesn’t mean home values are declining.
As Danielle Hale, Chief Economist at Realtor.com, explains:
“The share of inventory of smaller and more affordable homes has grown, which helps hold down the median price even as per-square-foot prices grow further.”
And here’s the data to prove it.
Price Per Square Foot Is Still Rising
One of the best ways to measure home values is by looking at the price per square foot. That’s because it shows how much you’re paying for the space inside the home.
The median asking price doesn’t take into account the size of different homes, so it may not always reflect the true value. And the latest national price per square foot data shows home values are still increasing, even though the median asking price has dropped (see graph below).
As Ralph McLaughlin, Senior Economist at Realtor.com, explains:
“When a change in the mix of inventory toward smaller homes is accounted for, the typical home listed this year has increased in asking price compared with last year.”
This means that while smaller homes are affecting the median price, the average home’s value is still rising. According to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA):
“Nationally, the U.S. housing market has experienced positive annual appreciation each quarter since the start of 2012.”
So, while headlines may make it sound like prices are crashing, you don’t have to worry. With a closer look and more reliable data, you can see that prices are still climbing nationally.
But it’s important to remember that home prices can vary by region. While national trends provide a big-picture view, local markets may be experiencing different conditions. A trusted agent is the best resource to explain what’s happening in your area.
Bottom Line
The decrease in median price is not the same as a decrease in home values. The median asking price is down mostly due to the mix of smaller, less expensive homes on the market.
The important thing to focus on is the price per square foot, which is a better indicator of overall market value—and those prices are still going up. If you have questions about what home prices are doing in your area, reach out to a local real estate agent who can provide insights on your specific market.
